Lightning vs. Blackhawks Prediction & Picks - Oct. 23

Chicago Blackhawks v St. Louis Blues

Photo: Dilip Vishwanat / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-3-2, on a three-game losing streak) host the Chicago Blackhawks (3-2-2) at Benchmark International Arena. The game on Thursday, Oct. 23 begins at 6:45 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of this matchup, here's who we predict to bring home the win in Thursday's hockey contest.

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this game calls for a final tally of Lightning 4, Blackhawks 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-311)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Blackhawks (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have finished -2-2 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall record of 1-3-2.
  • Tampa Bay is 1-2-2 (four points) in its five games decided by one goal.
  • In the one game this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-1-1 in the two games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering one point).
  • The Lightning have scored three or more goals three times, and are 1-2-0 in those games (to register two points).
  • In the two games when Tampa Bay has capitalized with a lone power-play goal, it went 0-1-1 to record one point.
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 0-0-1 (one point).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in five games. The Lightning finished 1-3-1 in those matchups (three points).

Blackhawks Splits and Trends

  • The Blackhawks (3-2-2 overall) have posted a record of 1-2-3 in contests that have needed OT this season.
  • In the four games Chicago has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up three points.
  • Chicago has earned three points (1-2-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
  • The Blackhawks have scored at least three goals three times, earning five points from those matchups (2-0-1).
  • This season, Chicago has recorded a single power-play goal in four games and registered five points with a record of 2-1-1.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Chicago is 1-0-1 (three points).
  • The Blackhawks have been outshot by opponents five times this season, and earned five points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Blackhawks AVG Blackhawks Rank
23rd 2.67 Goals Scored 3.14 13th
26th 3.5 Goals Allowed 2.43 7th
31st 23.3 Shots 24.4 29th
28th 31 Shots Allowed 31.1 29th
9th 25% Power Play % 18.18% 21st
4th 90.48% Penalty Kill % 81.82% 13th

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, October 23, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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